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301069.SZ$19.33-0.26%
Fair $19.33+0.0%

301069.SZ

Shandong Kaisheng New Materials Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsShenzhen

$19.33

-0.05 (-0.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $19.33Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $45.3M · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 301069.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shandong Kaisheng New Materials Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.8B

P/E

60.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

25.2x

↑

ROE

6.0%

↑

Gross Margin

27.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$19
$15$34

TradingView lightweight chart

301069.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $19.33Periodo -42.3%
Fair value: $19.33

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

8.4%

FCF / Net income

0.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.03B · net income $128.4M · FCF $86.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.3%-12.1% pts

Operating margin

14.6%-10.8% pts

Net margin

12.5%-10.7% pts

FCF margin

8.4%+19.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.03B$1.03B$927.9M$986.9M$1.01B
Net Income$128.4M$128.4M$56.0M$158.0M$234.5M
EBITDA$311.8M$311.8M$209.5M$267.0M$304.3M
EPS0.310.310.130.380.56
Gross Margin27.3%27.3%23.0%33.2%39.4%
Operating Margin14.6%14.6%9.2%18.6%25.4%
Net Margin12.5%12.5%6.0%16.0%23.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.310.29—
Current Ratio8.748.74———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$86.2M$86.2M$45.3M$-45.2M$-108.4M
Returns
ROE6.0%6.0%3.4%9.5%16.6%
Valuation
P/E60.4160.41109.9251.8650.98
EV/EBITDA25.2425.2429.7729.3138.50
P/B3.803.803.764.928.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.6%10.6%-6.0%-2.3%—
EPS Growth129.3%129.3%-64.6%-32.6%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

77.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.72

Spread vs growth

51.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

46.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.08

Spread vs growth

82.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

27.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.34

Spread vs growth

102.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +15.3%

Total return

+15.3%

Start / end P/E

126.5x → 63.3x

EPS bridge

0.13 → 0.31

Residual

-64.6%

EPS growth+129.3%
Multiple rerating-49.9%
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-64.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.