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301118.SZ$30.07+0.37%
Fair $30.07+0.0%

301118.SZ

Hunan Hengguang Technology Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsShenzhen

$30.07

+0.11 (+0.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $30.07Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-221.8M · quality 72.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 45/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -1.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301118.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hunan Hengguang Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E

1002.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.6x

↑

ROE

-1.2%

↓

Gross Margin

12.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.34

↑
52-Week Range$30
$20$39

TradingView lightweight chart

301118.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $30.07Periodo -49.0%
Fair value: $30.07

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-14.7%

FCF / Net income

14.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.50B · net income $-15.5M · FCF $-221.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.1%-15.2% pts

Operating margin

2.1%-17.1% pts

Net margin

-1.0%-19.7% pts

FCF margin

-14.7%+0.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.50B$1.50B$1.23B$936.4M$1.08B
Net Income$-15.5M$-15.5M$-60.9M$-37.6M$201.5M
EBITDA$139.7M$139.7M$61.7M$37.6M$258.0M
EPS-0.15-0.15-0.57-0.351.89
Gross Margin12.1%12.1%8.2%9.5%27.4%
Operating Margin2.1%2.1%-2.9%-2.4%19.2%
Net Margin-1.0%-1.0%-4.9%-4.0%18.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.350.330.12
Current Ratio1.111.11———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-221.8M$-221.8M$-143.9M$-290.6M$-164.3M
Returns
ROE-1.2%-1.2%-4.6%-2.7%13.6%
Valuation
P/E1002.331002.33——17.27
EV/EBITDA23.5823.5832.5372.7213.41
P/B2.372.371.381.762.36
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth21.9%21.9%31.9%-13.3%—
EPS Growth74.1%74.1%-62.3%-118.6%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +36.3%

Total return

+36.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.57 → -0.15

Residual

+35.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+35.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.