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301193.SZ$21.63+3.00%
Fair $21.63+0.0%

301193.SZ

Ningbo Homelink Eco-iTech Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$21.63

+0.63 (+3.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $21.63Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 2/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-755.4M · quality 32.3/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -4.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301193.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Ningbo Homelink Eco-iTech Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

28.4x

↑

ROE

-4.7%

↓

Gross Margin

13.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.45

↑
52-Week Range$22
$15$30

TradingView lightweight chart

301193.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.00Periodo -17.6%
Fair value: $21.63

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-30.7%

FCF / Net income

10.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.69B · net income $-75.7M · FCF $-824.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.2%-9.1% pts

Operating margin

-3.1%-12.3% pts

Net margin

-2.8%-11.9% pts

FCF margin

-30.7%-42.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.69B$2.69B$2.33B$1.72B$1.98B
Net Income$-75.7M$-75.7M$57.0M$45.4M$179.2M
EBITDA$219.4M$219.4M$309.4M$188.0M$298.4M
EPS-0.39-0.390.300.240.93
Gross Margin13.2%13.2%17.6%19.2%22.2%
Operating Margin-3.1%-3.1%3.6%4.6%9.2%
Net Margin-2.8%-2.8%2.5%2.6%9.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.451.450.910.740.21
Current Ratio0.790.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-824.3M$-824.3M$-755.4M$-663.5M$230.2M
Returns
ROE-4.7%-4.7%3.4%2.7%11.9%
Valuation
P/E——55.3570.4924.00
EV/EBITDA28.3828.3813.8418.6012.97
P/B2.612.611.871.892.85
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.5%15.5%35.2%-12.9%—
EPS Growth-231.7%-231.7%26.2%-74.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +39.1%

Total return

+39.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.30 → -0.39

Residual

+39.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+39.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.