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301256.SZ$11.75+1.29%
Fair $11.75+0.0%

301256.SZ

Huarong Chemical Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsShenzhen

$11.75

+0.15 (+1.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.75Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 4/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-10.3M · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301256.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Huarong Chemical Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.6B

P/E

73.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

45.2x

↑

ROE

4.2%

↑

Gross Margin

9.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$12
$10$20

TradingView lightweight chart

301256.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.75Periodo -20.1%
Fair value: $11.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.69B · net income $71.8M · FCF $-8.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.2%-7.4% pts

Operating margin

3.8%-6.8% pts

Net margin

4.3%-6.5% pts

FCF margin

-0.5%-7.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.69B$1.69B$1.21B$1.06B$1.14B
Net Income$71.8M$71.8M$100.5M$138.7M$122.2M
EBITDA$125.1M$125.1M$158.6M$197.5M$166.0M
EPS0.150.150.210.290.27
Gross Margin9.2%9.2%15.8%18.9%16.7%
Operating Margin3.8%3.8%6.6%7.0%10.6%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%8.3%13.1%10.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.240.340.21
Current Ratio3.153.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-8.3M$-8.3M$-55.8M$-10.3M$80.5M
Returns
ROE4.2%4.2%5.8%7.9%7.4%
Valuation
P/E73.4473.4433.9028.5532.37
EV/EBITDA45.2145.2122.1120.9022.49
P/B3.263.261.972.262.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth39.8%39.8%13.9%-6.7%—
EPS Growth-28.6%-28.6%-27.6%7.4%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

90.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.04

Spread vs growth

-119.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

53.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.26

Spread vs growth

-81.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

29.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.03

Spread vs growth

-58.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.0%

Total return

-9.0%

Start / end P/E

62.3x → 78.3x

EPS bridge

0.21 → 0.15

Residual

-7.3%

EPS growth-28.6%
Multiple rerating+25.7%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.