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301395.SZ$13.12+14.79%
Fair $13.12+0.0%

301395.SZ

Renxin New Material Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsShenzhen

$13.12

+1.69 (+14.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.12Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-120.0M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301395.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Renxin New Material Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

95.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

34.2x

↑

ROE

2.2%

↑

Gross Margin

2.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$13
$10$17

TradingView lightweight chart

301395.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.12Periodo -25.0%
Fair value: $13.12

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-15.3%

FCF / Net income

-10.10x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.21B · net income $33.5M · FCF $-338.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

2.6%-2.7% pts

Operating margin

1.6%-2.6% pts

Net margin

1.5%-2.3% pts

FCF margin

-15.3%-22.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.21B$2.21B$2.21B$1.98B$2.44B
Net Income$33.5M$33.5M$53.2M$55.8M$94.1M
EBITDA$76.3M$76.3M$91.7M$92.3M$134.4M
EPS0.140.140.220.260.52
Gross Margin2.6%2.6%2.5%3.0%5.3%
Operating Margin1.6%1.6%1.8%2.4%4.3%
Net Margin1.5%1.5%2.4%2.8%3.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.010.000.01
Current Ratio2.032.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-338.6M$-338.6M$-45.6M$-120.0M$165.5M
Returns
ROE2.2%2.2%3.4%3.4%13.2%
Valuation
P/E95.0795.0747.7251.49—
EV/EBITDA34.1634.1616.8428.72—
P/B2.062.061.621.73—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.2%-0.2%11.7%-19.0%—
EPS Growth-37.0%-37.0%-16.3%-49.4%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

103.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.16

Spread vs growth

-140.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

59.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.41

Spread vs growth

-96.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

32.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.27

Spread vs growth

-69.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.8%

Total return

-3.8%

Start / end P/E

62.7x → 95.1x

EPS bridge

0.22 → 0.14

Residual

-19.1%

EPS growth-37.0%
Multiple rerating+51.6%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-19.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.