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301588.SZ$35.57+0.28%
Fair $35.57+0.0%

301588.SZ

Newtechwood Corporation

Basic Materials / Building MaterialsShenzhen

$35.57

+0.10 (+0.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $35.57Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-292.0M · quality 62.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 3.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 301588.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Newtechwood Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.2B

P/E

169.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

46.9x

↑

ROE

3.3%

↑

Gross Margin

30.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.92

↑
52-Week Range$36
$17$43

TradingView lightweight chart

301588.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $35.47Periodo -5.1%
Fair value: $35.57

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-31.2%

FCF / Net income

-9.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $885.4M · net income $30.6M · FCF $-276.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.6%+1.4% pts

Operating margin

7.4%-6.0% pts

Net margin

3.5%-7.9% pts

FCF margin

-31.2%+9.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$885.4M$885.4M$833.0M$793.1M$746.2M
Net Income$30.6M$30.6M$58.5M$75.9M$84.7M
EBITDA$102.1M$102.1M$128.0M$165.0M$166.0M
EPS0.260.260.530.850.95
Gross Margin30.6%30.6%34.4%32.5%29.2%
Operating Margin7.4%7.4%11.2%14.3%13.5%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%7.0%9.6%11.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.920.920.620.880.77
Current Ratio1.281.28———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-276.6M$-276.6M$-395.9M$-292.0M$-306.6M
Returns
ROE3.3%3.3%6.3%14.4%18.9%
Valuation
P/E169.38169.3834.81——
EV/EBITDA46.8846.8818.05——
P/B4.474.472.20——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.3%6.3%5.0%6.3%—
EPS Growth-50.9%-50.9%-37.6%-10.5%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

129.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.16

Spread vs growth

-180.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

71.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.82

Spread vs growth

-122.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

37.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.15

Spread vs growth

-88.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +90.1%

Total return

+90.1%

Start / end P/E

35.4x → 136.8x

EPS bridge

0.53 → 0.26

Residual

-146.1%

EPS growth-50.9%
Multiple rerating+286.7%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-146.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.