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v0.1
3020.SR$24.75+1.52%
Fair $24.75+0.0%

3020.SR

YAMAMA Cement Company

Basic Materials / Building MaterialsSaudi

$24.75

+0.37 (+1.52%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $24.75Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-197.3M · quality 40.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 3020.SRLocal privado en este navegador · YAMAMA Cement Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.0B

P/E

10.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.0x

↓

ROE

9.7%

↑

Gross Margin

37.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.37

↑
52-Week Range$25
$23$37

TradingView lightweight chart

3020.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $24.77Periodo -26.8%
Fair value: $24.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.2%

FCF CAGR

-9.3%

FCF margin

12.9%

FCF / Net income

0.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.42B · net income $482.9M · FCF $182.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.5%-3.0% pts

Operating margin

29.5%-3.5% pts

Net margin

33.9%-1.4% pts

FCF margin

12.9%-11.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.42B$1.42B$1.17B$935.2M$1.01B
Net Income$482.9M$482.9M$420.7M$304.3M$355.8M
EBITDA$757.5M$757.5M$677.5M$538.2M$420.2M
EPS2.382.382.081.501.76
Gross Margin37.5%37.5%45.5%35.9%40.5%
Operating Margin29.5%29.5%38.3%28.5%33.0%
Net Margin33.9%33.9%35.9%32.5%35.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.370.370.370.280.24
Current Ratio1.841.84———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$182.9M$182.9M$-401.4M$-197.3M$245.1M
Returns
ROE9.7%9.7%8.7%6.4%7.6%
Valuation
P/E10.3610.3615.9621.8715.74
EV/EBITDA8.978.9712.4814.5715.81
P/B1.011.011.391.401.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth21.3%21.3%25.4%-7.2%—
EPS Growth14.4%14.4%38.7%-14.8%—
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.20

Spread vs growth

17.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

2.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.66

Spread vs growth

12.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$4.28

Spread vs growth

8.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -26.0%

Total return

-26.0%

Start / end P/E

17.0x → 10.4x

EPS bridge

2.08 → 2.38

Residual

-5.6%

EPS growth+14.4%
Multiple rerating-38.8%
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.