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v0.1
3030.SR$32.12+0.37%
Fair $32.12+0.0%

3030.SR

Saudi Cement Company

Basic Materials / Building MaterialsSaudi

$32.12

+0.12 (+0.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $32.12Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $451.6M · quality 82.3/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 87/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 3030.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Saudi Cement Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.9B

P/E

13.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.2x

↓

ROE

16.4%

↑

Gross Margin

36.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$32
$30$42

TradingView lightweight chart

3030.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $32.12Periodo -55.5%
Fair value: $32.12

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.6%

FCF CAGR

-12.2%

FCF margin

23.0%

FCF / Net income

1.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.67B · net income $363.7M · FCF $384.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.1%-4.0% pts

Operating margin

24.1%-4.4% pts

Net margin

21.8%-6.3% pts

FCF margin

23.0%-16.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.67B$1.67B$1.68B$1.46B$1.42B
Net Income$363.7M$363.7M$421.9M$381.0M$398.8M
EBITDA$621.0M$621.0M$685.4M$648.2M$658.0M
EPS——2.762.492.61
Gross Margin36.1%36.1%39.8%39.2%40.1%
Operating Margin24.1%24.1%27.7%28.7%28.5%
Net Margin21.8%21.8%25.2%26.1%28.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.130.210.15
Current Ratio1.821.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$384.2M$384.2M$495.0M$451.6M$566.8M
Returns
ROE16.4%16.4%18.8%17.6%17.4%
Valuation
P/E13.8413.8414.7520.3620.31
EV/EBITDA8.218.219.3412.4812.71
P/B2.212.212.783.593.54
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.3%-0.3%14.6%3.0%—
EPS Growth——10.8%-4.6%—
Dividend Yield10.3%10.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.3%

Total return

-10.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.76 → n/d

Residual

-20.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+10.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.