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3454.T$1200.00-0.33%
Fair $1200.00+0.0%

3454.T

First Brothers Co.,Ltd.

Financial Services / Asset ManagementTokyo

$1200.00

-4.00 (-0.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1200.00Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 7/9
High Debt

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 25.0/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.16, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3454.TLocal privado en este navegador · First Brothers Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$16.8B

P/E

9.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

12.2x

↓

ROE

6.7%

↑

Gross Margin

41.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.16

↑
52-Week Range$1200
$980$1285

TradingView lightweight chart

3454.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,200Periodo +28.5%
Fair value: $1,200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

20.1%

FCF / Net income

2.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $19.06B · net income $1.75B · FCF $3.83B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.1%+12.5% pts

Operating margin

27.8%+15.1% pts

Net margin

9.2%+0.9% pts

FCF margin

20.1%+70.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$19.06B$19.06B$16.87B$22.27B$14.28B
Net Income$1.75B$1.75B$1.42B$3.19B$1.18B
EBITDA$5.45B$5.45B$4.16B$6.58B$3.01B
EPS——100.88227.2684.17
Gross Margin41.1%41.1%30.3%31.3%28.6%
Operating Margin27.8%27.8%16.8%20.0%12.7%
Net Margin9.2%9.2%8.4%14.3%8.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.162.162.352.402.75
Current Ratio11.9811.98———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.83B$3.83B$-1.31B$1.24B$-7.13B
Returns
ROE6.7%6.7%5.7%13.1%5.5%
Valuation
P/E9.629.629.934.1910.19
EV/EBITDA12.1912.1916.219.7621.22
P/B0.640.640.570.550.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.0%13.0%-24.3%55.9%—
EPS Growth——-55.6%170.0%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.9%

Total return

+23.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

100.88 → n/d

Residual

+20.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+20.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.