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3708.T$1719.00-1.38%
Fair $1719.00+0.0%

3708.T

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsTokyo

$1719.00

-24.00 (-1.38%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1719.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.3B · quality 41.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 4.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3708.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tokushu Tokai Paper Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$59.9B

P/E

13.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.4x

↓

ROE

4.6%

↑

Gross Margin

13.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.37

↑
52-Week Range$1719
$1177$1815

TradingView lightweight chart

3708.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,719Periodo +35.0%
Fair value: $1,719

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $94.80B · net income $3.61B · FCF $-1.32B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.4%-1.2% pts

Operating margin

4.1%-1.1% pts

Net margin

3.8%-2.7% pts

FCF margin

-1.4%-4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$94.80B$94.80B$86.52B$84.13B$80.71B
Net Income$3.61B$3.61B$4.59B$4.13B$5.25B
EBITDA$12.35B$12.35B$12.51B$11.72B$13.80B
EPS102.13102.13128.84114.77131.51
Gross Margin13.4%13.4%12.0%10.5%14.6%
Operating Margin4.1%4.1%2.7%2.0%5.2%
Net Margin3.8%3.8%5.3%4.9%6.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.370.370.350.340.34
Current Ratio1.531.53———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.32B$-1.32B$5.01B$-2.18B$2.30B
Returns
ROE4.6%4.6%6.0%5.7%7.3%
Valuation
P/E13.8113.8110.218.358.62
EV/EBITDA6.366.364.824.154.20
P/B0.770.770.610.480.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.6%9.6%2.8%4.2%—
EPS Growth-20.7%-20.7%12.3%-12.7%—
Dividend Yield5.4%5.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$152.53

Spread vs growth

-35.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$184.56

Spread vs growth

-33.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$297.24

Spread vs growth

-32.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +50.2%

Total return

+50.2%

Start / end P/E

9.2x → 16.8x

EPS bridge

128.84 → 102.13

Residual

-17.2%

EPS growth-20.7%
Multiple rerating+82.8%
Dividend+5.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.