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3788.HK$2.90-0.34%
Fair $2.90+0.0%

3788.HK

Hanking Gold International Limited

Basic Materials / Other Industrial Metals & MiningHKSE

$2.90

-0.01 (-0.34%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.90Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $40.4M · quality 40.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 3788.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Hanking Gold International Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.5B

P/E

29.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.5x

↑

ROE

9.4%

↑

Gross Margin

27.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.61

↑
52-Week Range$3
$1$6

TradingView lightweight chart

3788.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.900Periodo +1218.2%
Fair value: $2.900

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.44x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.56B · net income $172.1M · FCF $-76.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.0%+13.2% pts

Operating margin

13.3%+10.4% pts

Net margin

6.7%+8.7% pts

FCF margin

-3.0%-10.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.56B$2.56B$2.48B$3.03B$2.60B
Net Income$172.1M$172.1M$180.9M$151.8M$-51.3M
EBITDA$506.6M$506.6M$506.3M$437.7M$222.0M
EPS0.090.090.090.08-0.03
Gross Margin27.0%27.0%27.1%20.5%13.8%
Operating Margin13.3%13.3%15.1%9.8%2.8%
Net Margin6.7%6.7%7.3%5.0%-2.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.610.610.630.560.48
Current Ratio1.141.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-76.6M$-76.6M$40.4M$185.4M$205.9M
Returns
ROE9.4%9.4%12.6%10.8%-4.0%
Valuation
P/E29.0029.008.309.87—
EV/EBITDA12.5212.524.024.629.10
P/B3.063.061.041.071.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.0%3.0%-18.0%16.4%—
EPS Growth-5.3%-5.3%19.0%392.6%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

42.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.26

Spread vs growth

-47.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.31

Spread vs growth

-33.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.50

Spread vs growth

-24.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +117.8%

Total return

+117.8%

Start / end P/E

14.3x → 32.6x

EPS bridge

0.09 → 0.09

Residual

-6.8%

EPS growth-5.3%
Multiple rerating+128.6%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.