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3880.T$919.00-1.71%
Fair $919.00+0.0%

3880.T

Daio Paper Corporation

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsTokyo

$919.00

-16.00 (-1.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $919.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $11.4B · quality 36.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -4.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3880.TLocal privado en este navegador · Daio Paper Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$141.7B

P/E

17.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.3x

↓

ROE

-4.7%

↓

Gross Margin

21.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.88

↑
52-Week Range$919
$774$1244

TradingView lightweight chart

3880.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $919.00Periodo +2.5%
Fair value: $919.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.0%

FCF CAGR

+38.6%

FCF margin

1.7%

FCF / Net income

-1.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $668.91B · net income $-11.20B · FCF $11.44B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.5%-4.9% pts

Operating margin

1.5%-4.7% pts

Net margin

-1.7%-5.5% pts

FCF margin

1.7%+1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$668.91B$668.91B$671.69B$646.21B$612.31B
Net Income$-11.20B$-11.20B$4.47B$-34.70B$23.72B
EBITDA$52.35B$52.35B$66.27B$14.06B$83.04B
EPS-67.28-67.2827.10-209.01142.91
Gross Margin21.5%21.5%21.3%17.1%26.4%
Operating Margin1.5%1.5%2.1%-3.3%6.1%
Net Margin-1.7%-1.7%0.7%-5.4%3.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.881.881.922.051.46
Current Ratio1.231.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$11.44B$11.44B$28.09B$-75.43B$4.29B
Returns
ROE-4.7%-4.7%1.8%-14.8%9.2%
Valuation
P/E17.0917.0942.77—10.87
EV/EBITDA9.259.258.2039.576.59
P/B0.650.650.780.751.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.4%-0.4%3.9%5.5%—
EPS Growth-348.3%-348.3%113.0%-246.3%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.4%

Total return

+11.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

27.10 → -67.28

Residual

+9.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.