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4027.T$2367.00+2.47%
Fair $2367.00+0.0%

4027.T

Tayca Corporation

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$2367.00

+57.00 (+2.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2367.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 69/B
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.1B · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

69/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4027.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tayca Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$54.0B

P/E

27.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.7x

↓

ROE

4.1%

↑

Gross Margin

18.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$2367
$1196$2445

TradingView lightweight chart

4027.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,367Periodo +407.9%
Fair value: $2,367

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.94x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $55.74B · net income $2.42B · FCF $-2.28B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.3%-2.6% pts

Operating margin

6.3%-1.6% pts

Net margin

4.3%-1.8% pts

FCF margin

-4.1%-9.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$55.74B$55.74B$52.99B$54.77B$46.36B
Net Income$2.42B$2.42B$1.87B$2.99B$2.85B
EBITDA$6.84B$6.84B$5.97B$7.74B$7.58B
EPS105.46105.4680.60128.86122.79
Gross Margin18.3%18.3%16.4%19.1%20.8%
Operating Margin6.3%6.3%4.4%7.7%7.9%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%3.5%5.5%6.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.170.130.10
Current Ratio2.962.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.28B$-2.28B$1.36B$-2.11B$2.37B
Returns
ROE4.1%4.1%3.3%5.6%5.6%
Valuation
P/E27.0427.0418.888.9910.24
EV/EBITDA7.727.725.102.852.78
P/B0.920.920.620.500.57
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.2%5.2%-3.2%18.1%—
EPS Growth30.8%30.8%-37.5%4.9%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

25.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$210.03

Spread vs growth

5.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$254.14

Spread vs growth

11.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$409.29

Spread vs growth

16.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +91.8%

Total return

+91.8%

Start / end P/E

15.6x → 22.4x

EPS bridge

80.60 → 105.46

Residual

+13.5%

EPS growth+30.8%
Multiple rerating+43.9%
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+13.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.