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4031.T$1122.00-4.77%
Fair $1122.00+0.0%

4031.T

Katakura & Co-op Agri Corporation

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsTokyo

$1122.00

-56.00 (-4.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1122.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.3B · quality 61.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 1.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4031.TLocal privado en este navegador · Katakura & Co-op Agri Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.1B

P/E

28.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.3x

↑

ROE

1.5%

↑

Gross Margin

15.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.62

↑
52-Week Range$1122
$851$1858

TradingView lightweight chart

4031.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,118Periodo -32.2%
Fair value: $1,122

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.6%

FCF / Net income

-6.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $41.37B · net income $350.0M · FCF $-2.33B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.0%-2.2% pts

Operating margin

1.6%-1.3% pts

Net margin

0.8%-1.8% pts

FCF margin

-5.6%-3.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$41.37B$41.37B$41.23B$51.03B$38.96B
Net Income$350.0M$350.0M$-630.0M$2.17B$1.02B
EBITDA$2.01B$2.01B$501.0M$4.46B$2.51B
EPS39.0939.09-70.37242.50114.23
Gross Margin15.0%15.0%11.5%18.5%17.3%
Operating Margin1.6%1.6%-2.1%7.0%2.9%
Net Margin0.8%0.8%-1.5%4.3%2.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.620.620.530.410.31
Current Ratio1.391.39———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.33B$-2.33B$-1.01B$-2.44B$-896.0M
Returns
ROE1.5%1.5%-2.7%8.8%4.4%
Valuation
P/E28.7028.70—6.3411.02
EV/EBITDA11.3511.3540.684.936.58
P/B0.420.420.440.560.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.3%0.3%-19.2%31.0%—
EPS Growth155.5%155.5%-129.0%112.3%—
Dividend Yield5.0%5.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

36.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$99.56

Spread vs growth

119.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

25.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$120.47

Spread vs growth

130.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$194.01

Spread vs growth

138.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +31.5%

Total return

+31.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-70.37 → 39.09

Residual

+26.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+26.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.