StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
4044.T$4015.00-1.10%
Fair $4015.00+0.0%

4044.T

Central Glass Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$4015.00

-45.00 (-1.10%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4015.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $15.1B · quality 67.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 60/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4044.TLocal privado en este navegador · Central Glass Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$99.5B

P/E

11.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.2x

↓

ROE

4.9%

↑

Gross Margin

27.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.36

↑
52-Week Range$4015
$2816$4470

TradingView lightweight chart

4044.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4,060Periodo +50.9%
Fair value: $4,015

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.2%

FCF CAGR

+39.9%

FCF margin

12.5%

FCF / Net income

3.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $144.23B · net income $5.68B · FCF $17.99B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.3%+6.6% pts

Operating margin

7.4%+3.8% pts

Net margin

3.9%+23.3% pts

FCF margin

12.5%+9.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$144.23B$144.23B$160.34B$169.31B$206.18B
Net Income$5.68B$5.68B$12.48B$42.49B$-39.84B
EBITDA$18.73B$18.73B$26.02B$53.97B$-26.14B
EPS229.14229.14503.551222.21-984.58
Gross Margin27.3%27.3%26.4%25.4%20.6%
Operating Margin7.4%7.4%9.1%9.9%3.5%
Net Margin3.9%3.9%7.8%25.1%-19.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.360.360.460.630.36
Current Ratio2.542.54———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$17.99B$17.99B$15.14B$10.24B$6.57B
Returns
ROE4.9%4.9%10.9%41.1%-31.6%
Valuation
P/E11.9011.905.542.35—
EV/EBITDA6.216.213.882.72—
P/B0.850.850.600.960.72
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.0%-10.0%-5.3%-17.9%—
EPS Growth-54.5%-54.5%-58.8%224.1%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

15.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$356.26

Spread vs growth

-70.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$431.08

Spread vs growth

-68.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$694.26

Spread vs growth

-66.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +46.0%

Total return

+46.0%

Start / end P/E

5.7x → 17.7x

EPS bridge

503.55 → 229.14

Residual

-115.3%

EPS growth-54.5%
Multiple rerating+211.6%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-115.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.