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4063.T$7793.00+0.45%
Fair $7793.00+0.0%

4063.T

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsTokyo

$7793.00

+35.00 (+0.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7793.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 67/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $439.1B · quality 83.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 84/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

67/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4063.TLocal privado en este navegador · Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$14.47T

P/E

30.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.0x

↑

ROE

11.5%

↑

Gross Margin

38.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$7793
$4280$7930

TradingView lightweight chart

4063.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7,793Periodo +767.8%
Fair value: $7,793

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.3%

FCF CAGR

+7.2%

FCF margin

17.1%

FCF / Net income

0.82x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.56T · net income $534.02B · FCF $439.10B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.4%-3.4% pts

Operating margin

29.0%-3.6% pts

Net margin

20.9%-3.3% pts

FCF margin

17.1%-0.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2561.25B$2561.25B$2414.94B$2808.82B$2074.43B
Net Income$534.02B$534.02B$520.14B$708.24B$500.12B
EBITDA$980.46B$980.46B$928.66B$1235.33B$865.91B
EPS269.28269.28259.13347.61—
Gross Margin38.4%38.4%37.7%43.2%41.8%
Operating Margin29.0%29.0%29.0%35.5%32.6%
Net Margin20.9%20.9%21.5%25.2%24.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.010.01
Current Ratio5.945.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$439.10B$439.10B$377.70B$488.65B$355.97B
Returns
ROE11.5%11.5%12.2%18.3%15.0%
Valuation
P/E30.7730.7723.8011.37—
EV/EBITDA14.0414.0411.535.377.23
P/B3.313.312.902.082.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.1%6.1%-14.0%35.4%—
EPS Growth3.9%3.9%-25.5%——
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

36.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$691.50

Spread vs growth

-33.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

25.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$836.71

Spread vs growth

-21.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1347.54

Spread vs growth

-13.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +71.6%

Total return

+71.6%

Start / end P/E

17.7x → 28.9x

EPS bridge

259.13 → 269.28

Residual

+2.5%

EPS growth+3.9%
Multiple rerating+63.8%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.