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4093.T$387.00+0.52%
Fair $387.00+0.0%

4093.T

Toho Acetylene Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsTokyo

$387.00

+2.00 (+0.52%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $387.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.4B · quality 78.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4093.TLocal privado en este navegador · Toho Acetylene Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.5B

P/E

10.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.7x

↓

ROE

7.0%

↑

Gross Margin

31.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$387
$340$505

TradingView lightweight chart

4093.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $387.00Periodo +377.8%
Fair value: $387.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.6%

FCF CAGR

+15.3%

FCF margin

4.2%

FCF / Net income

1.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $34.80B · net income $1.29B · FCF $1.45B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.5%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

5.5%+1.6% pts

Net margin

3.7%+1.1% pts

FCF margin

4.2%+1.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$34.80B$34.80B$35.42B$34.09B$31.29B
Net Income$1.29B$1.29B$1.42B$988.7M$823.6M
EBITDA$2.89B$2.89B$3.04B$2.35B$2.05B
EPS37.0337.0340.7428.48—
Gross Margin31.5%31.5%31.5%29.7%30.7%
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%6.0%4.5%3.9%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%4.0%2.9%2.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.220.220.23
Current Ratio1.851.85———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.45B$1.45B$1.37B$639.7M$948.8M
Returns
ROE7.0%7.0%8.1%6.0%5.2%
Valuation
P/E10.4610.469.139.25—
EV/EBITDA2.702.702.561.801.58
P/B0.740.740.740.560.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.7%-1.7%3.9%9.0%—
EPS Growth-9.1%-9.1%43.0%——
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-2.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$34.34

Spread vs growth

-6.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

2.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$41.55

Spread vs growth

-11.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$66.92

Spread vs growth

-15.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.8%

Total return

+17.8%

Start / end P/E

8.4x → 10.5x

EPS bridge

40.74 → 37.03

Residual

-2.2%

EPS growth-9.1%
Multiple rerating+24.5%
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.