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4098.T$1126.00-3.01%
Fair $1126.00+0.0%

4098.T

Titan Kogyo, Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$1126.00

-35.00 (-3.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1126.00Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 8/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $622.0M · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4098.TLocal privado en este navegador · Titan Kogyo, Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

36.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.0x

↓

ROE

3.9%

↑

Gross Margin

15.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.28

↑
52-Week Range$1126
$740$1730

TradingView lightweight chart

4098.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,126Periodo -22.9%
Fair value: $1,126

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

8.1%

FCF / Net income

3.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.79B · net income $200.0M · FCF $632.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.1%-3.0% pts

Operating margin

2.1%-2.5% pts

Net margin

2.6%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

8.1%+42.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.79B$7.79B$7.95B$8.07B$8.15B
Net Income$200.0M$200.0M$-1.68B$322.0M$265.0M
EBITDA$1.14B$1.14B$-621.0M$1.14B$1.18B
EPS67.4867.48-566.58109.0588.14
Gross Margin15.1%15.1%4.5%18.0%18.1%
Operating Margin2.1%2.1%-9.1%4.8%4.6%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%-21.1%4.0%3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.281.281.401.111.12
Current Ratio1.371.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$632.0M$632.0M$622.0M$-389.0M$-2.77B
Returns
ROE3.9%3.9%-33.7%4.8%4.2%
Valuation
P/E36.5936.59—13.2120.54
EV/EBITDA7.967.96—9.9010.16
P/B0.650.650.640.640.86
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.0%-2.0%-1.4%-1.0%—
EPS Growth111.9%111.9%-619.6%23.7%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$99.91

Spread vs growth

97.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$120.90

Spread vs growth

99.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$194.70

Spread vs growth

100.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +43.9%

Total return

+43.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-566.58 → 67.48

Residual

+42.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+42.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.