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4100.T$1880.00-3.24%
Fair $1880.00+0.0%

4100.T

TODA KOGYO CORP.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$1880.00

-63.00 (-3.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1880.00Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-937.0M · quality 20.7/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.50, above the 2.0 threshold Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -32.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4100.TLocal privado en este navegador · TODA KOGYO CORP.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-32.0%

↓

Gross Margin

17.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.50

↑
52-Week Range$1880
$940$2219

TradingView lightweight chart

4100.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,880Periodo -60.0%
Fair value: $1,880

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.6%

FCF CAGR

+73.9%

FCF margin

2.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $31.67B · net income $-3.56B · FCF $784.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.8%-4.9% pts

Operating margin

-2.0%-9.2% pts

Net margin

-11.3%-20.1% pts

FCF margin

2.5%+2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$31.67B$31.67B$26.23B$34.93B$35.33B
Net Income$-3.56B$-3.56B$-3.58B$3.27B$3.12B
EBITDA$-1.48B$-1.48B$-1.48B$5.61B$5.02B
EPS-616.44-616.44-620.00562.48537.04
Gross Margin17.8%17.8%22.4%21.3%22.7%
Operating Margin-2.0%-2.0%0.5%3.9%7.1%
Net Margin-11.3%-11.3%-13.7%9.4%8.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.502.501.961.621.97
Current Ratio1.021.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$784.0M$784.0M$-2.11B$-937.0M$149.0M
Returns
ROE-32.0%-32.0%-25.7%20.5%24.9%
Valuation
P/E———4.345.09
EV/EBITDA———5.606.48
P/B0.980.980.800.891.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.7%20.7%-24.9%-1.1%—
EPS Growth0.6%0.6%-210.2%4.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +99.8%

Total return

+99.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-620.00 → -616.44

Residual

+99.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+99.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.