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4148.SR$2.67+0.00%
Fair $2.67+0.0%

4148.SR

Alwasail Industrial Company

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsSaudi

$2.67

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.67Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $20.4M · quality 68.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 63/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4148.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Alwasail Industrial Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$668M

P/E

24.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.6x

↑

ROE

8.8%

↑

Gross Margin

25.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$3
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

4148.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.700Periodo -26.0%
Fair value: $2.670

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

-42.0%

FCF margin

1.5%

FCF / Net income

0.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $461.3M · net income $33.8M · FCF $6.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.1%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

9.8%-0.4% pts

Net margin

7.3%-1.0% pts

FCF margin

1.5%-7.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$461.3M$461.3M$460.1M$446.0M$386.6M
Net Income$33.8M$33.8M$39.1M$33.6M$32.3M
EBITDA$54.4M$54.4M$58.9M$42.4M$39.7M
EPS——0.160.130.13
Gross Margin25.1%25.1%26.9%24.2%25.3%
Operating Margin9.8%9.8%11.7%9.4%10.2%
Net Margin7.3%7.3%8.5%7.5%8.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.060.010.01
Current Ratio2.882.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.9M$6.9M$20.4M$25.7M$35.2M
Returns
ROE8.8%8.8%10.8%9.3%9.3%
Valuation
P/E24.2724.27———
EV/EBITDA12.6412.64———
P/B1.741.74———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.3%0.3%3.2%15.4%—
EPS Growth——23.1%0.0%—
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -23.2%

Total return

-23.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.16 → n/d

Residual

-26.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-26.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.