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4234.T$661.00-2.51%
Fair $661.00+0.0%

4234.T

Sun A.Kaken Company,Limited

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$661.00

-17.00 (-2.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $661.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-791.4M · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 1.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4234.TLocal privado en este navegador · Sun A.Kaken Company,Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

6.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.3x

↓

ROE

1.2%

↑

Gross Margin

11.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.30

↑
52-Week Range$661
$540$1025

TradingView lightweight chart

4234.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $661.00Periodo -17.4%
Fair value: $661.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.3%

FCF / Net income

-5.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $29.43B · net income $237.0M · FCF $-1.27B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.4%-2.2% pts

Operating margin

-0.1%-2.7% pts

Net margin

0.8%-4.5% pts

FCF margin

-4.3%-6.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$29.43B$29.43B$27.52B$27.87B$28.67B
Net Income$237.0M$237.0M$348.2M$-198.5M$1.52B
EBITDA$1.22B$1.22B$1.73B$474.1M$2.42B
EPS23.1223.1232.86-18.13—
Gross Margin11.4%11.4%10.4%9.3%13.6%
Operating Margin-0.1%-0.1%-0.7%-1.7%2.6%
Net Margin0.8%0.8%1.3%-0.7%5.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.300.240.260.26
Current Ratio1.821.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.27B$-1.27B$647.3M$-791.4M$551.7M
Returns
ROE1.2%1.2%1.7%-1.0%7.6%
Valuation
P/E6.646.6416.19——
EV/EBITDA5.295.291.868.671.42
P/B0.340.340.270.270.28
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.9%6.9%-1.3%-2.8%—
EPS Growth-29.6%-29.6%281.2%——
Dividend Yield2.7%2.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

36.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$58.65

Spread vs growth

-66.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

25.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$70.97

Spread vs growth

-54.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$114.30

Spread vs growth

-47.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.0%

Total return

+22.0%

Start / end P/E

16.9x → 28.6x

EPS bridge

32.86 → 23.12

Residual

-20.6%

EPS growth-29.6%
Multiple rerating+69.6%
Dividend+2.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.