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4249.T$2280.00-1.89%
Fair $2280.00+0.0%

4249.T

Moriroku Company, Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$2280.00

-44.00 (-1.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2280.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.2B · quality 44.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -12.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4249.TLocal privado en este navegador · Moriroku Company, Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$32.6B

P/E

13.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

15.7x

↑

ROE

-12.3%

↓

Gross Margin

16.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.33

↑
52-Week Range$2280
$2252$2790

TradingView lightweight chart

4249.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,280Periodo -20.8%
Fair value: $2,280

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $146.17B · net income $-7.81B · FCF $2.24B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.1%+1.2% pts

Operating margin

2.8%+0.6% pts

Net margin

-5.3%-8.7% pts

FCF margin

1.5%+4.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$146.17B$146.17B$145.64B$142.02B$128.84B
Net Income$-7.81B$-7.81B$3.02B$1.35B$4.26B
EBITDA$2.20B$2.20B$14.89B$12.66B$16.25B
EPS-532.37-532.37200.9586.34—
Gross Margin16.1%16.1%16.7%13.4%15.0%
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%3.9%0.9%2.2%
Net Margin-5.3%-5.3%2.1%0.9%3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.330.330.330.380.38
Current Ratio1.461.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.24B$2.24B$8.00B$1.32B$-3.97B
Returns
ROE-12.3%-12.3%4.0%1.9%6.0%
Valuation
P/E13.3513.3513.1521.22—
EV/EBITDA15.6815.683.022.912.24
P/B0.530.530.530.410.40
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.4%0.4%2.5%10.2%—
EPS Growth-364.9%-364.9%132.7%——
Dividend Yield5.4%5.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.0%

Total return

-5.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

200.95 → -532.37

Residual

-10.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.