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4310.T$2851.00+1.07%
Fair $2851.00+0.0%

4310.T

Dream Incubator Inc.

Financial Services / Asset ManagementTokyo

$2851.00

+31.00 (+1.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2851.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 3.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4310.TLocal privado en este navegador · Dream Incubator Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$24.9B

P/E

15.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

53.4x

↑

ROE

1.3%

↓

Gross Margin

47.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$2851
$2225$3090

TradingView lightweight chart

4310.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,925Periodo +2.6%
Fair value: $2,851

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-44.2%

FCF CAGR

-45.2%

FCF margin

19.6%

FCF / Net income

7.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.18B · net income $170.0M · FCF $1.21B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

47.4%+6.0% pts

Operating margin

4.2%+4.6% pts

Net margin

2.7%+2.7% pts

FCF margin

19.6%-1.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.18B$6.18B$5.38B$30.13B$35.57B
Net Income$170.0M$170.0M$-1.85B$11.55B$7.0M
EBITDA$363.0M$363.0M$-1.93B$17.96B$557.0M
EPS19.3919.39-202.261183.340.77
Gross Margin47.4%47.4%8.4%44.4%41.4%
Operating Margin4.2%4.2%-36.6%3.9%-0.5%
Net Margin2.7%2.7%-34.3%38.3%0.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity———0.000.32
Current Ratio6.166.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.21B$1.21B$-7.71B$3.48B$7.35B
Returns
ROE1.3%1.3%-12.3%53.9%0.1%
Valuation
P/E15.7215.72—2.353067.53
EV/EBITDA53.4053.40—0.9423.56
P/B1.921.921.481.272.34
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.0%15.0%-82.2%-15.3%—
EPS Growth109.6%109.6%-117.1%153580.5%—
Dividend Yield9.4%9.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

135.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$252.98

Spread vs growth

-25.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

73.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$306.10

Spread vs growth

35.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

38.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$492.98

Spread vs growth

71.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.4%

Total return

+6.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-202.26 → 19.39

Residual

-3.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+9.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.