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4461.T$11560.00+1.67%
Fair $11560.00+0.0%

4461.T

DKS Co. Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$11560.00

+190.00 (+1.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11560.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.6B · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 37/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4461.TLocal privado en este navegador · DKS Co. Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$122.7B

P/E

31.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.4x

↑

ROE

6.7%

↑

Gross Margin

24.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.81

↑
52-Week Range$11560
$3135$12550

TradingView lightweight chart

4461.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11,560Periodo +731.7%
Fair value: $11,560

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.3%

FCF CAGR

+23.5%

FCF margin

7.4%

FCF / Net income

2.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $73.25B · net income $2.58B · FCF $5.39B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.9%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

7.3%-0.1% pts

Net margin

3.5%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

7.4%+2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$73.25B$73.25B$63.12B$65.08B$62.67B
Net Income$2.58B$2.58B$1.17B$-407.0M$2.49B
EBITDA$8.68B$8.68B$5.85B$3.97B$7.98B
EPS270.08270.08122.81-41.87244.81
Gross Margin24.9%24.9%21.2%19.9%25.1%
Operating Margin7.3%7.3%3.3%1.8%7.4%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%1.9%-0.6%4.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.810.810.960.950.84
Current Ratio1.751.75———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.39B$5.39B$4.59B$-2.11B$2.86B
Returns
ROE6.7%6.7%3.2%-1.2%6.8%
Valuation
P/E31.8731.8727.52—10.74
EV/EBITDA14.4414.448.7710.485.69
P/B2.862.860.880.530.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.1%16.1%-3.0%3.8%—
EPS Growth119.9%119.9%393.3%-117.1%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

56.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1025.76

Spread vs growth

63.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

35.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1241.17

Spread vs growth

84.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1998.91

Spread vs growth

97.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +265.4%

Total return

+265.4%

Start / end P/E

25.9x → 42.8x

EPS bridge

122.81 → 270.08

Residual

+78.6%

EPS growth+119.9%
Multiple rerating+65.6%
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+78.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.