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4471.T$5120.00-2.66%
Fair $5120.00+0.0%

4471.T

Sanyo Chemical Industries, Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$5120.00

-140.00 (-2.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5120.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $13.9B · quality 80.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 3.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4471.TLocal privado en este navegador · Sanyo Chemical Industries, Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$113.3B

P/E

7.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.7x

↓

ROE

3.1%

↑

Gross Margin

22.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$5120
$3610$6090

TradingView lightweight chart

4471.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5,120Periodo +19.8%
Fair value: $5,120

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.3%

FCF CAGR

+7.1%

FCF margin

9.8%

FCF / Net income

3.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $142.26B · net income $4.15B · FCF $13.93B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.5%+1.1% pts

Operating margin

5.9%-1.4% pts

Net margin

2.9%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

9.8%+2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$142.26B$142.26B$159.51B$174.97B$162.53B
Net Income$4.15B$4.15B$-8.50B$5.68B$6.70B
EBITDA$16.22B$16.22B$3.62B$19.77B$20.44B
EPS——-384.91257.57303.76
Gross Margin22.5%22.5%18.4%18.4%21.4%
Operating Margin5.9%5.9%3.1%4.6%7.3%
Net Margin2.9%2.9%-5.3%3.2%4.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.080.070.05
Current Ratio3.073.07———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$13.93B$13.93B$19.81B$10.85B$11.33B
Returns
ROE3.1%3.1%-6.1%3.9%4.6%
Valuation
P/E7.247.24—16.2916.31
EV/EBITDA5.685.6820.934.334.84
P/B0.840.840.660.630.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.8%-10.8%-8.8%7.7%—
EPS Growth——-249.4%-15.2%—
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +42.5%

Total return

+42.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-384.91 → n/d

Residual

+39.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+39.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.