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4611.T$1275.00-1.01%
Fair $1275.00+0.0%

4611.T

Dai Nippon Toryo Company, Limited

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$1275.00

-13.00 (-1.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1275.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.7B · quality 44.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4611.TLocal privado en este navegador · Dai Nippon Toryo Company, Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$36.4B

P/E

21.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

2.5x

↓

ROE

14.5%

↑

Gross Margin

31.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$1275
$1128$1508

TradingView lightweight chart

4611.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,275Periodo +62.4%
Fair value: $1,275

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $72.51B · net income $9.44B · FCF $-1.75B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.0%+1.6% pts

Operating margin

6.5%+1.7% pts

Net margin

13.0%+10.0% pts

FCF margin

-2.4%-5.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$72.51B$72.51B$71.94B$72.85B$66.95B
Net Income$9.44B$9.44B$4.60B$3.46B$2.03B
EBITDA$14.33B$14.33B$9.75B$7.38B$6.22B
EPS329.61329.61160.76120.92—
Gross Margin31.0%31.0%30.3%28.3%29.4%
Operating Margin6.5%6.5%6.8%5.4%4.8%
Net Margin13.0%13.0%6.4%4.7%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.100.120.11
Current Ratio1.371.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.75B$-1.75B$-739.0M$-1.88B$1.87B
Returns
ROE14.5%14.5%7.7%6.6%4.1%
Valuation
P/E21.6521.657.256.91—
EV/EBITDA2.522.523.183.153.34
P/B0.560.560.560.460.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.8%0.8%-1.2%8.8%—
EPS Growth105.0%105.0%32.9%——
Dividend Yield4.6%4.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-30.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$113.14

Spread vs growth

135.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-16.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$136.89

Spread vs growth

121.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$220.47

Spread vs growth

109.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.0%

Total return

+14.0%

Start / end P/E

7.2x → 3.9x

EPS bridge

160.76 → 329.61

Residual

-49.0%

EPS growth+105.0%
Multiple rerating-46.6%
Dividend+4.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-49.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.