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4615.T$127.00+0.79%
Fair $127.00+0.0%

4615.T

Shinto Paint Company, Limited

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$127.00

+1.00 (+0.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $127.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-582.0M · quality 68.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 42/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -0.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4615.TLocal privado en este navegador · Shinto Paint Company, Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

7.2x

↓

ROE

-0.4%

↓

Gross Margin

17.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.37

↑
52-Week Range$127
$119$139

TradingView lightweight chart

4615.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $127.00Periodo +5.8%
Fair value: $127.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.8%

FCF / Net income

9.86x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $20.76B · net income $-59.0M · FCF $-582.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.6%+0.1% pts

Operating margin

1.1%+2.9% pts

Net margin

-0.3%+9.3% pts

FCF margin

-2.8%+1.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$20.76B$20.76B$18.95B$19.04B$19.14B
Net Income$-59.0M$-59.0M$-497.0M$-1.81B$-1.82B
EBITDA$866.0M$866.0M$322.0M$-1.01B$-337.0M
EPS-1.92-1.92-16.05-58.33-58.95
Gross Margin17.6%17.6%15.5%12.1%17.5%
Operating Margin1.1%1.1%-2.5%-6.3%-1.8%
Net Margin-0.3%-0.3%-2.6%-9.5%-9.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.370.370.430.460.23
Current Ratio1.071.07———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-582.0M$-582.0M$-343.0M$-1.03B$-811.0M
Returns
ROE-0.4%-0.4%-3.7%-13.4%-11.9%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA7.247.2419.22——
P/B0.290.290.290.300.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.5%9.5%-0.4%-0.5%—
EPS Growth88.0%88.0%72.5%1.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.9%

Total return

-5.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-16.05 → -1.92

Residual

-5.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.