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4973.T$5530.00-4.16%
Fair $5530.00+0.0%

4973.T

Japan Pure Chemical Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$5530.00

-240.00 (-4.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5530.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $551.9M · quality 40.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4973.TLocal privado en este navegador · Japan Pure Chemical Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$32.1B

P/E

17.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

41.7x

↑

ROE

11.6%

↑

Gross Margin

12.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$5530
$2979$6030

TradingView lightweight chart

4973.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5,530Periodo +218.3%
Fair value: $5,530

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-12.3%

FCF CAGR

+65.7%

FCF margin

3.4%

FCF / Net income

0.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.61B · net income $1.58B · FCF $430.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.9%+1.2% pts

Operating margin

4.0%-2.4% pts

Net margin

12.5%+7.3% pts

FCF margin

3.4%+2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$12.61B$12.61B$11.42B$16.25B$18.71B
Net Income$1.58B$1.58B$548.3M$570.0M$974.2M
EBITDA$589.7M$589.7M$403.1M$652.0M$1.32B
EPS271.36271.3694.6297.19165.16
Gross Margin12.9%12.9%12.0%9.7%11.7%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%3.1%3.5%6.4%
Net Margin12.5%12.5%4.8%3.5%5.2%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio15.6715.67———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$430.4M$430.4M$551.9M$2.52B$94.6M
Returns
ROE11.6%11.6%3.8%4.2%6.8%
Valuation
P/E17.8917.8933.8725.9414.76
EV/EBITDA41.7341.7330.7913.837.84
P/B2.372.371.281.091.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.4%10.4%-29.7%-13.1%—
EPS Growth186.8%186.8%-2.6%-41.2%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

21.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$490.70

Spread vs growth

165.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$593.74

Spread vs growth

169.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$956.23

Spread vs growth

173.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +86.1%

Total return

+86.1%

Start / end P/E

32.1x → 20.4x

EPS bridge

94.62 → 271.36

Residual

-68.3%

EPS growth+186.8%
Multiple rerating-36.6%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-68.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.