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4975.T$7380.00-0.67%
Fair $7380.00+0.0%

4975.T

JCU Corporation

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$7380.00

-50.00 (-0.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7380.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.4B · quality 74.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 71/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4975.TLocal privado en este navegador · JCU Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$181.7B

P/E

20.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.5x

↑

ROE

15.7%

↑

Gross Margin

65.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$7380
$3070$7850

TradingView lightweight chart

4975.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7,380Periodo +954.3%
Fair value: $7,380

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.3%

FCF CAGR

-26.1%

FCF margin

6.6%

FCF / Net income

0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $28.36B · net income $7.50B · FCF $1.88B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.6%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

37.1%+0.0% pts

Net margin

26.4%+0.2% pts

FCF margin

6.6%-12.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$28.36B$28.36B$24.86B$27.14B$24.26B
Net Income$7.50B$7.50B$5.53B$6.01B$6.37B
EBITDA$11.83B$11.83B$8.76B$10.19B$9.83B
EPS297.71297.71216.95232.62243.82
Gross Margin65.6%65.6%61.1%60.6%64.8%
Operating Margin37.1%37.1%32.3%34.2%37.1%
Net Margin26.4%26.4%22.2%22.2%26.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.020.030.04
Current Ratio5.185.18———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.88B$1.88B$5.40B$6.82B$4.65B
Returns
ROE15.7%15.7%13.1%15.9%19.2%
Valuation
P/E20.1920.1917.8214.2315.87
EV/EBITDA13.5413.548.256.138.43
P/B3.893.892.332.263.05
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.1%14.1%-8.4%11.9%—
EPS Growth37.2%37.2%-6.7%-4.6%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

30.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$654.85

Spread vs growth

7.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

21.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$792.37

Spread vs growth

15.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1276.12

Spread vs growth

21.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +128.1%

Total return

+128.1%

Start / end P/E

15.1x → 24.8x

EPS bridge

216.95 → 297.71

Residual

+24.0%

EPS growth+37.2%
Multiple rerating+64.5%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+24.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.