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4977.T$1188.00-1.00%
Fair $1188.00+0.0%

4977.T

Nitta Gelatin Inc.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$1188.00

-12.00 (-1.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1188.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.6B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 4977.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nitta Gelatin Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$21.6B

P/E

6.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.1x

↓

ROE

15.3%

↑

Gross Margin

25.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.37

↑
52-Week Range$1188
$787$1487

TradingView lightweight chart

4977.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,188Periodo +152.2%
Fair value: $1,188

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.6%

FCF / Net income

1.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $38.74B · net income $3.16B · FCF $3.72B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.7%+3.7% pts

Operating margin

10.1%+5.2% pts

Net margin

8.2%+5.9% pts

FCF margin

9.6%+10.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$38.74B$38.74B$40.42B$39.19B$31.78B
Net Income$3.16B$3.16B$-1.85B$1.56B$726.0M
EBITDA$5.86B$5.86B$1.86B$4.60B$3.18B
EPS173.94173.94-101.9885.9840.16
Gross Margin25.7%25.7%20.5%22.7%22.0%
Operating Margin10.1%10.1%4.5%5.8%4.9%
Net Margin8.2%8.2%-4.6%4.0%2.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.370.370.540.570.46
Current Ratio3.233.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.72B$3.72B$2.64B$-2.70B$-285.0M
Returns
ROE15.3%15.3%-10.2%8.2%4.0%
Valuation
P/E6.586.58—9.5516.06
EV/EBITDA4.154.1510.024.965.34
P/B1.041.040.710.780.65
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.1%-4.1%3.1%23.3%—
EPS Growth270.6%270.6%-218.6%114.1%—
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-15.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$105.42

Spread vs growth

285.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$127.55

Spread vs growth

276.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

1.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$205.42

Spread vs growth

268.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +53.3%

Total return

+53.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-101.98 → 173.94

Residual

+50.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+50.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.