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4996.T$725.00-1.89%
Fair $725.00+0.0%

4996.T

Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsTokyoJP

$725.00

-14.00 (-1.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $725.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-4.1B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 3.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 4996.TLocal privado en este navegador · Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$87.3B

P/E

12.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.2x

↓

ROE

3.0%

↑

Gross Margin

20.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.35

↑
52-Week Range$725
$665$871

TradingView lightweight chart

4996.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $725.00Periodo +364.7%
Fair value: $725.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

14.7%

FCF / Net income

5.74x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $170.46B · net income $4.38B · FCF $25.14B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.2%-3.4% pts

Operating margin

6.2%-2.5% pts

Net margin

2.6%-8.7% pts

FCF margin

14.7%+21.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$170.46B$170.46B$161.05B$161.00B$145.30B
Net Income$4.38B$4.38B$13.59B$18.02B$16.33B
EBITDA$16.06B$16.06B$23.31B$28.63B$28.14B
EPS36.3836.38112.91149.88135.45
Gross Margin20.2%20.2%22.0%22.8%23.5%
Operating Margin6.2%6.2%7.0%8.8%8.7%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%8.4%11.2%11.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.350.350.510.340.30
Current Ratio1.981.98———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$25.14B$25.14B$-25.91B$-4.06B$-9.14B
Returns
ROE3.0%3.0%9.3%13.5%14.1%
Valuation
P/E12.7412.747.167.416.92
EV/EBITDA7.257.256.195.314.46
P/B0.600.600.671.000.98
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.8%5.8%0.0%10.8%—
EPS Growth-67.8%-67.8%-24.7%10.7%—
Dividend Yield3.3%3.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

20.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$64.33

Spread vs growth

-88.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$77.84

Spread vs growth

-84.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$125.36

Spread vs growth

-80.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.0%

Total return

-8.0%

Start / end P/E

7.2x → 19.9x

EPS bridge

112.91 → 36.38

Residual

-118.9%

EPS growth-67.8%
Multiple rerating+175.4%
Dividend+3.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-118.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.