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5014.TWO$11.05-0.45%
Fair $11.05+0.0%

5014.TWO

Chain Chon Industrial Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / SteelTaipei Exchange

$11.05

-0.05 (-0.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.05Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-272.4M · quality 19.7/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.05, above the 2.0 threshold Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -16.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5014.TWOLocal privado en este navegador · Chain Chon Industrial Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-16.5%

↓

Gross Margin

2.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.05

↑
52-Week Range$11
$9$14

TradingView lightweight chart

5014.TWO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.05Periodo -7.3%
Fair value: $11.05

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-7.8%

FCF CAGR

-71.9%

FCF margin

0.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $14.95B · net income $-437.0M · FCF $37.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

2.4%-4.2% pts

Operating margin

-0.6%-3.9% pts

Net margin

-2.9%-4.9% pts

FCF margin

0.3%-8.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$14.95B$14.95B$16.33B$15.61B$19.07B
Net Income$-437.0M$-437.0M$216.0M$25.7M$376.7M
EBITDA$-68.4M$-68.4M$639.5M$423.9M$852.1M
EPS——1.160.142.04
Gross Margin2.4%2.4%3.6%3.9%6.7%
Operating Margin-0.6%-0.6%0.2%0.7%3.2%
Net Margin-2.9%-2.9%1.3%0.2%2.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.052.052.402.261.51
Current Ratio1.031.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$37.9M$37.9M$-502.8M$-272.4M$1.72B
Returns
ROE-16.5%-16.5%6.7%0.9%11.9%
Valuation
P/E——11.55105.009.07
EV/EBITDA——14.9921.289.09
P/B0.770.770.770.911.08
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.4%-8.4%4.6%-18.1%—
EPS Growth——728.6%-93.1%—
Dividend Yield2.7%2.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.9%

Total return

-16.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

1.16 → n/d

Residual

-19.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-19.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.