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5423.T$1702.00-0.18%
Fair $1702.00+0.0%

5423.T

Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / SteelTokyo

$1702.00

-3.00 (-0.18%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1702.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 2/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $30.6B · quality 64.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 46/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 5423.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tokyo Steel Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$174.5B

P/E

15.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.4x

↓

ROE

10.1%

↑

Gross Margin

17.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$1702
$1328$1973

TradingView lightweight chart

5423.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,702Periodo +234.4%
Fair value: $1,702

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $326.77B · net income $21.20B · FCF $-2.77B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.8%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

9.2%-2.5% pts

Net margin

6.5%-5.3% pts

FCF margin

-0.8%-7.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$326.77B$326.77B$367.24B$361.25B$270.88B
Net Income$21.20B$21.20B$27.96B$30.85B$31.94B
EBITDA$36.55B$36.55B$45.72B$43.71B$37.47B
EPS——253.51272.44269.79
Gross Margin17.8%17.8%17.8%17.4%18.5%
Operating Margin9.2%9.2%10.4%10.5%11.7%
Net Margin6.5%6.5%7.6%8.5%11.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.00—0.000.01
Current Ratio2.822.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.77B$-2.77B$36.66B$30.59B$17.12B
Returns
ROE10.1%10.1%13.7%17.2%20.2%
Valuation
P/E15.1215.126.514.764.12
EV/EBITDA4.414.412.842.683.05
P/B0.870.870.890.820.83
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.0%-11.0%1.7%33.4%—
EPS Growth——-6.9%1.0%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.3%

Total return

+14.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

253.51 → n/d

Residual

+12.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+12.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.