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5445.T$1778.00-1.44%
Fair $1778.00+0.0%

5445.T

Tokyo Tekko Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / SteelTokyo

$1778.00

-26.00 (-1.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1778.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.1B · quality 54.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 5445.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tokyo Tekko Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$45.0B

P/E

5.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

0.4x

↓

ROE

18.2%

↑

Gross Margin

28.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$1778
$1760$2233

TradingView lightweight chart

5445.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,778Periodo +1593.3%
Fair value: $1,778

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.6%

FCF / Net income

0.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $82.59B · net income $10.85B · FCF $2.16B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.3%+17.6% pts

Operating margin

17.8%+18.1% pts

Net margin

13.1%+20.3% pts

FCF margin

2.6%+15.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$82.59B$82.59B$79.62B$79.23B$66.09B
Net Income$10.85B$10.85B$7.89B$3.66B$-4.72B
EBITDA$17.60B$17.60B$13.53B$7.41B$-2.62B
EPS1238.771238.77884.90405.28-518.08
Gross Margin28.3%28.3%23.1%15.2%10.7%
Operating Margin17.8%17.8%13.4%5.5%-0.3%
Net Margin13.1%13.1%9.9%4.6%-7.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.110.160.18
Current Ratio3.363.36———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.16B$2.16B$7.54B$5.08B$-8.48B
Returns
ROE18.2%18.2%14.9%7.9%-11.2%
Valuation
P/E5.645.641.851.39—
EV/EBITDA0.370.370.310.06—
P/B0.260.260.270.110.09
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.7%3.7%0.5%19.9%—
EPS Growth40.0%40.0%118.3%178.2%—
Dividend Yield5.5%5.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-49.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$157.77

Spread vs growth

89.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-31.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$190.90

Spread vs growth

71.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$307.44

Spread vs growth

53.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.3%

Total return

+4.3%

Start / end P/E

2.0x → 1.4x

EPS bridge

884.90 → 1238.77

Residual

-11.8%

EPS growth+40.0%
Multiple rerating-29.4%
Dividend+5.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.