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5451.T$1244.00+0.32%
Fair $1244.00+0.0%

5451.T

Yodoko, Ltd.

Basic Materials / SteelTokyo

$1244.00

+4.00 (+0.32%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1244.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $10.9B · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 5451.TLocal privado en este navegador · Yodoko, Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$178.2B

P/E

10.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

-0.8x

↓

ROE

6.9%

↑

Gross Margin

16.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1244
$1062$1660

TradingView lightweight chart

5451.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,244Periodo +399.6%
Fair value: $1,244

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.7%

FCF / Net income

0.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $208.46B · net income $13.50B · FCF $5.56B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.4%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

6.7%-0.5% pts

Net margin

6.5%+1.6% pts

FCF margin

2.7%+12.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$208.46B$208.46B$203.96B$220.31B$201.66B
Net Income$13.50B$13.50B$4.46B$10.59B$9.79B
EBITDA$25.43B$25.43B$12.99B$22.03B$21.31B
EPS465.96465.9630.7773.20—
Gross Margin16.4%16.4%15.6%14.8%16.5%
Operating Margin6.7%6.7%5.9%5.7%7.1%
Net Margin6.5%6.5%2.2%4.8%4.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.010.01
Current Ratio5.935.93———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.56B$5.56B$17.42B$10.93B$-18.89B
Returns
ROE6.9%6.9%2.3%5.9%5.7%
Valuation
P/E10.3410.3428.667.24—
EV/EBITDA-0.83-0.835.511.722.07
P/B0.180.180.670.430.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.2%2.2%-7.4%9.3%—
EPS Growth1414.1%1414.1%-58.0%——
Dividend Yield4.3%4.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-38.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$110.38

Spread vs growth

1452.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-22.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$133.56

Spread vs growth

1436.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$215.11

Spread vs growth

1421.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.6%

Total return

+17.6%

Start / end P/E

35.7x → 2.7x

EPS bridge

30.77 → 465.96

Residual

-1308.3%

EPS growth+1414.1%
Multiple rerating-92.5%
Dividend+4.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1308.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.