StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
5491.T$905.00-2.79%
Fair $905.00+0.0%

5491.T

Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / SteelTokyo

$905.00

-26.00 (-2.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $905.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.9B · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 2.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5491.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nippon Kinzoku Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.8B

P/E

28.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.7x

↓

ROE

2.5%

↑

Gross Margin

10.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.77

↑
52-Week Range$905
$700$1189

TradingView lightweight chart

5491.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $905.00Periodo +13.1%
Fair value: $905.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.5%

FCF CAGR

-62.4%

FCF margin

0.2%

FCF / Net income

0.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $51.30B · net income $703.0M · FCF $94.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.0%-3.2% pts

Operating margin

-0.4%-3.3% pts

Net margin

1.4%-3.8% pts

FCF margin

0.2%-3.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$51.30B$51.30B$51.41B$52.57B$49.12B
Net Income$703.0M$703.0M$1.54B$916.0M$2.52B
EBITDA$3.33B$3.33B$4.41B$3.31B$5.22B
EPS——230.84136.94376.10
Gross Margin10.0%10.0%8.3%12.3%13.2%
Operating Margin-0.4%-0.4%-2.1%2.4%2.9%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%3.0%1.7%5.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.770.770.911.010.97
Current Ratio2.052.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$94.0M$94.0M$-2.92B$-6.14B$1.77B
Returns
ROE2.5%2.5%5.8%3.7%10.8%
Valuation
P/E28.0128.013.666.623.36
EV/EBITDA4.674.674.106.894.03
P/B0.220.220.210.250.36
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.2%-0.2%-2.2%7.0%—
EPS Growth——68.6%-63.6%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.8%

Total return

+23.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

230.84 → n/d

Residual

+23.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+23.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.