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5695.T$2629.00-2.63%
Fair $2629.00+0.0%

5695.T

Powdertech Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Specialty ChemicalsTokyo

$2629.00

-71.00 (-2.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2629.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 6/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-195.6M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5695.TLocal privado en este navegador · Powdertech Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.6B

P/E

18.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.1x

↓

ROE

2.5%

↑

Gross Margin

23.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$2629
$2002$2847

TradingView lightweight chart

5695.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,629Periodo +19.0%
Fair value: $2,629

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.1%

FCF CAGR

-28.3%

FCF margin

3.9%

FCF / Net income

1.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $9.14B · net income $318.4M · FCF $352.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.2%-6.2% pts

Operating margin

3.6%-9.0% pts

Net margin

3.5%-5.8% pts

FCF margin

3.9%-7.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$9.14B$9.14B$8.55B$8.83B$8.84B
Net Income$318.4M$318.4M$280.5M$544.2M$817.8M
EBITDA$1.12B$1.12B$1.08B$1.57B$1.84B
EPS109.76109.7696.84187.84282.29
Gross Margin23.2%23.2%23.6%26.1%29.4%
Operating Margin3.6%3.6%4.8%7.9%12.6%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%3.3%6.2%9.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.000.000.00
Current Ratio4.634.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$352.6M$352.6M$-195.6M$-628.2M$957.8M
Returns
ROE2.5%2.5%2.2%4.3%6.6%
Valuation
P/E18.8318.8324.1711.618.73
EV/EBITDA7.067.065.953.743.67
P/B0.600.600.530.500.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.9%6.9%-3.2%-0.0%—
EPS Growth13.3%13.3%-48.4%-33.5%—
Dividend Yield3.8%3.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

28.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$233.28

Spread vs growth

-15.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$282.27

Spread vs growth

-7.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$454.60

Spread vs growth

-1.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +32.0%

Total return

+32.0%

Start / end P/E

21.2x → 24.0x

EPS bridge

96.84 → 109.76

Residual

+1.8%

EPS growth+13.3%
Multiple rerating+13.1%
Dividend+3.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.