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5703.T$3165.00-1.11%
Fair $3165.00+0.0%

5703.T

Nippon Light Metal Holdings Company, Ltd.

Basic Materials / AluminumTokyo

$3165.00

-35.00 (-1.11%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3165.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-9.6B · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 5703.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nippon Light Metal Holdings Company, Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$194.9B

P/E

12.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.7x

↓

ROE

5.3%

↑

Gross Margin

17.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.72

↑
52-Week Range$3165
$1572$3330

TradingView lightweight chart

5703.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,130Periodo +236.6%
Fair value: $3,165

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $550.18B · net income $12.38B · FCF $-9.61B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.3%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

4.0%-0.6% pts

Net margin

2.2%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

-1.7%+2.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$550.18B$550.18B$523.72B$516.95B$486.58B
Net Income$12.38B$12.38B$9.94B$7.20B$16.76B
EBITDA$43.12B$43.12B$38.83B$32.45B$47.01B
EPS200.01200.01160.47116.33270.77
Gross Margin17.3%17.3%16.9%14.9%18.8%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%3.5%1.5%4.6%
Net Margin2.2%2.2%1.9%1.4%3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.720.720.700.800.77
Current Ratio2.002.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-9.61B$-9.61B$14.11B$-17.71B$-19.36B
Returns
ROE5.3%5.3%4.5%3.5%8.3%
Valuation
P/E12.5012.5011.4412.166.09
EV/EBITDA7.657.656.046.784.52
P/B0.840.840.510.430.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.1%5.1%1.3%6.2%—
EPS Growth24.6%24.6%37.9%-57.0%—
Dividend Yield3.2%3.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

12.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$280.84

Spread vs growth

12.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$339.82

Spread vs growth

13.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$547.28

Spread vs growth

14.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +100.7%

Total return

+100.7%

Start / end P/E

9.9x → 15.6x

EPS bridge

160.47 → 200.01

Residual

+14.4%

EPS growth+24.6%
Multiple rerating+58.4%
Dividend+3.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+14.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.