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5742.T$681.00-1.73%
Fair $681.00+0.0%

5742.T

NIC Autotec, Inc.

Basic Materials / AluminumTokyo

$681.00

-12.00 (-1.73%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $681.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $211.9M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 5742.TLocal privado en este navegador · NIC Autotec, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.7B

P/E

151.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.2x

↓

ROE

6.2%

↑

Gross Margin

21.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.55

↑
52-Week Range$681
$680$836

TradingView lightweight chart

5742.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $681.00Periodo -11.4%
Fair value: $681.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.1%

FCF / Net income

1.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.65B · net income $212.1M · FCF $404.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.6%+1.7% pts

Operating margin

3.5%+0.0% pts

Net margin

3.2%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

6.1%+22.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.65B$6.65B$4.85B$6.66B$7.43B
Net Income$212.1M$212.1M$-599.7M$-158.4M$248.8M
EBITDA$489.4M$489.4M$-171.6M$188.8M$475.6M
EPS38.9238.92-110.07-29.0645.67
Gross Margin21.6%21.6%15.6%16.4%19.9%
Operating Margin3.5%3.5%-9.9%-2.1%3.4%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%-12.4%-2.4%3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.550.550.550.460.43
Current Ratio1.861.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$404.0M$404.0M$211.9M$132.8M$-1.22B
Returns
ROE6.2%6.2%-17.4%-3.7%5.4%
Valuation
P/E151.33151.33——17.36
EV/EBITDA10.2310.23—31.7411.96
P/B1.081.081.331.030.93
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth37.0%37.0%-27.1%-10.4%—
EPS Growth135.4%135.4%-278.8%-163.6%—
Dividend Yield6.1%6.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

15.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$60.43

Spread vs growth

119.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$73.12

Spread vs growth

121.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$117.76

Spread vs growth

123.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.0%

Total return

-5.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-110.07 → 38.92

Residual

-11.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.