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v0.1
5753.T$2308.00-0.47%
Fair $2308.00+0.0%

5753.T

Nippon Shindo Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / CopperTokyo

$2308.00

-11.00 (-0.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2308.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $222.0M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 5753.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nippon Shindo Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.9B

P/E

6.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.1x

↓

ROE

8.1%

↑

Gross Margin

10.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$2308
$2015$3100

TradingView lightweight chart

5753.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,308Periodo +304.9%
Fair value: $2,308

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.8%

FCF / Net income

0.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $26.12B · net income $964.0M · FCF $222.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.3%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

7.0%-2.0% pts

Net margin

3.7%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

0.8%+1.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$26.12B$26.12B$23.34B$27.24B$26.14B
Net Income$964.0M$964.0M$555.0M$1.03B$1.06B
EBITDA$1.54B$1.54B$943.0M$1.67B$1.66B
EPS451.37451.37259.86473.86463.21
Gross Margin10.3%10.3%8.8%8.8%11.8%
Operating Margin7.0%7.0%5.1%5.8%9.0%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%2.4%3.8%4.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.160.240.26
Current Ratio1.251.25———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$222.0M$222.0M$767.0M$2.0M$-217.0M
Returns
ROE8.1%8.1%5.1%10.0%11.2%
Valuation
P/E6.656.657.694.264.19
EV/EBITDA4.064.066.144.013.98
P/B0.410.410.390.420.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.9%11.9%-14.3%4.2%—
EPS Growth73.7%73.7%-45.2%2.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-23.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$204.80

Spread vs growth

96.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$247.80

Spread vs growth

85.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$399.09

Spread vs growth

74.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.6%

Total return

+11.6%

Start / end P/E

8.0x → 5.1x

EPS bridge

259.86 → 451.37

Residual

-26.4%

EPS growth+73.7%
Multiple rerating-35.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-26.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.