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5973.T$613.00-0.49%
Fair $613.00+0.0%

5973.T

Toami Corporation

Basic Materials / SteelTokyo

$613.00

-3.00 (-0.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $613.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $141.8M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -0.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 5973.TLocal privado en este navegador · Toami Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

20.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.9x

↑

ROE

-0.1%

↑

Gross Margin

14.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.44

↑
52-Week Range$613
$505$689

TradingView lightweight chart

5973.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $614.00Periodo +14.8%
Fair value: $613.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.8%

FCF / Net income

-22.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.10B · net income $-6.4M · FCF $141.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.2%-1.7% pts

Operating margin

-0.6%-1.0% pts

Net margin

-0.0%-0.6% pts

FCF margin

0.8%+16.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.10B$18.10B$17.63B$15.41B$12.27B
Net Income$-6.4M$-6.4M$247.4M$-72.2M$69.7M
EBITDA$597.2M$597.2M$703.8M$260.7M$323.0M
EPS-1.12-1.1241.39-11.8611.16
Gross Margin14.2%14.2%15.3%13.6%15.9%
Operating Margin-0.6%-0.6%1.8%-0.7%0.3%
Net Margin-0.0%-0.0%1.4%-0.5%0.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.440.440.410.390.18
Current Ratio1.311.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$141.8M$141.8M$837.3M$-1.69B$-1.91B
Returns
ROE-0.1%-0.1%2.3%-0.7%0.6%
Valuation
P/E20.0120.0113.63—38.71
EV/EBITDA10.8810.889.9422.649.49
P/B0.330.330.310.290.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.7%2.7%14.4%25.7%—
EPS Growth-102.7%-102.7%449.0%-206.3%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.8%

Total return

+14.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

41.39 → -1.12

Residual

+11.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+11.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.