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600230.SS$15.34+4.42%
Fair $15.34+0.0%

600230.SS

Cangzhou Dahua Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Agricultural InputsShanghai

$15.34

+0.65 (+4.42%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.34Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $347.9M · quality 56.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 0.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600230.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Cangzhou Dahua Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

76.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.8x

↑

ROE

0.8%

↑

Gross Margin

7.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$15
$10$27

TradingView lightweight chart

600230.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.34Periodo +94.0%
Fair value: $15.34

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.4%

FCF / Net income

-2.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.56B · net income $30.9M · FCF $-63.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.4%-8.7% pts

Operating margin

1.1%-9.4% pts

Net margin

0.7%-7.9% pts

FCF margin

-1.4%-4.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.56B$4.56B$5.07B$4.87B$4.91B
Net Income$30.9M$30.9M$27.7M$190.4M$420.1M
EBITDA$528.3M$528.3M$558.5M$743.9M$957.2M
EPS0.070.070.070.461.01
Gross Margin7.4%7.4%6.5%13.4%16.1%
Operating Margin1.1%1.1%0.9%5.4%10.5%
Net Margin0.7%0.7%0.5%3.9%8.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.090.140.31
Current Ratio0.790.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-63.7M$-63.7M$347.9M$791.1M$125.7M
Returns
ROE0.8%0.8%0.7%4.8%10.7%
Valuation
P/E76.7076.70143.7129.3716.87
EV/EBITDA12.8112.817.788.278.68
P/B1.691.691.001.401.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.0%-10.0%4.2%-0.9%—
EPS Growth0.0%0.0%-84.8%-54.5%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

168.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.36

Spread vs growth

-168.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

88.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.65

Spread vs growth

-88.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

43.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.65

Spread vs growth

-43.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +45.5%

Total return

+45.5%

Start / end P/E

150.7x → 219.1x

EPS bridge

0.07 → 0.07

Residual

+0.0%

EPS growth+0.0%
Multiple rerating+45.4%
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.