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600281.SS$5.09+4.09%
Fair $5.09+0.0%

600281.SS

Shanxi Huayang New Material Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / ChemicalsShanghai

$5.09

+0.20 (+4.09%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.09Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 12/F
F-Score: 5/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-89.8M · quality 40.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 36/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

12/100

F

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 8.83, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -11.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600281.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shanxi Huayang New Material Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

49.3x

↑

ROE

-11.1%

↓

Gross Margin

4.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

8.83

↑
52-Week Range$5
$5$8

TradingView lightweight chart

600281.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.090Periodo -31.5%
Fair value: $5.090

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-19.9%

FCF / Net income

14.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $451.4M · net income $-6.2M · FCF $-89.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

4.8%-5.5% pts

Operating margin

-12.1%-6.9% pts

Net margin

-1.4%+9.8% pts

FCF margin

-19.9%+58.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$451.4M$451.4M$386.9M$270.6M$327.9M
Net Income$-6.2M$-6.2M$-186.2M$-199.7M$-36.7M
EBITDA$62.3M$62.3M$-95.6M$-141.8M$-8.9M
EPS-0.01-0.01-0.36-0.39-0.07
Gross Margin4.8%4.8%-8.5%-10.2%10.2%
Operating Margin-12.1%-12.1%-29.5%-36.0%-5.2%
Net Margin-1.4%-1.4%-48.1%-73.8%-11.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity8.838.838.932.010.74
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-89.8M$-89.8M$-64.1M$-196.5M$-257.9M
Returns
ROE-11.1%-11.1%-304.8%-81.3%-8.2%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA49.3449.34———
P/B46.5646.5625.779.805.22
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.7%16.7%43.0%-17.5%—
EPS Growth96.7%96.7%6.8%-443.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.5%

Total return

-8.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.36 → -0.01

Residual

-8.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.