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600318.SS$6.72-2.18%
Fair $6.72+0.0%

600318.SS

Anhui Xinli Finance Co., Ltd.

Financial Services / Asset ManagementShanghai

$6.72

-0.15 (-2.18%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.72Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 11.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 40/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); financial Book/ROE targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600318.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Anhui Xinli Finance Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

84.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

27.4x

↑

ROE

3.3%

↓

Gross Margin

80.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.75

↑
52-Week Range$7
$7$11

TradingView lightweight chart

600318.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.720Periodo +6.8%
Fair value: $6.720

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-59.6%

FCF / Net income

-5.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $352.4M · net income $35.7M · FCF $-210.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

80.9%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

57.5%+5.3% pts

Net margin

10.1%+54.4% pts

FCF margin

-59.6%-163.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$352.4M$352.4M$313.8M$335.7M$313.0M
Net Income$35.7M$35.7M$31.2M$28.5M$-138.5M
EBITDA$187.9M$187.9M$194.3M$212.1M$24.4M
EPS0.070.070.060.06-0.27
Gross Margin80.9%80.9%81.7%82.3%80.1%
Operating Margin57.5%57.5%54.1%56.0%52.2%
Net Margin10.1%10.1%9.9%8.5%-44.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.751.751.331.271.36
Current Ratio2.332.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-210.2M$-210.2M$237.8M$139.7M$325.2M
Returns
ROE3.3%3.3%2.9%2.7%-13.7%
Valuation
P/E84.0084.00125.50119.50—
EV/EBITDA27.3627.3626.4221.31191.97
P/B3.143.143.693.283.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.3%12.3%-6.5%7.2%—
EPS Growth16.7%16.7%0.0%122.2%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

104.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.60

Spread vs growth

-87.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

59.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.72

Spread vs growth

-42.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

32.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.16

Spread vs growth

-15.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -27.2%

Total return

-27.2%

Start / end P/E

154.5x → 96.0x

EPS bridge

0.06 → 0.07

Residual

-6.3%

EPS growth+16.7%
Multiple rerating-37.9%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.