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600399.SS$4.81+0.21%
Fair $4.81+0.0%

600399.SS

Fushun Special Steel Co.,LTD.

Basic Materials / SteelShanghai

$4.81

+0.01 (+0.21%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.81Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 16/F
F-Score: 0/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-823.1M · quality 52.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

16/100

F

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -14.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600399.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Fushun Special Steel Co.,LTD.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-14.6%

↓

Gross Margin

0.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.62

↑
52-Week Range$5
$5$8

TradingView lightweight chart

600399.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.810Periodo +124.4%
Fair value: $4.810

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-21.9%

FCF / Net income

2.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.78B · net income $-805.0M · FCF $-1.71B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

0.6%-14.0% pts

Operating margin

-6.8%-13.1% pts

Net margin

-10.3%-12.9% pts

FCF margin

-21.9%-18.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.78B$7.78B$8.48B$8.57B$7.81B
Net Income$-805.0M$-805.0M$111.7M$362.3M$196.5M
EBITDA$-176.0M$-176.0M$645.0M$773.5M$579.6M
EPS-0.41-0.410.060.180.10
Gross Margin0.6%0.6%12.7%13.5%14.7%
Operating Margin-6.8%-6.8%5.3%6.1%6.4%
Net Margin-10.3%-10.3%1.3%4.2%2.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.620.620.500.440.43
Current Ratio1.091.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.71B$-1.71B$-823.1M$-514.4M$-295.0M
Returns
ROE-14.6%-14.6%1.8%5.6%3.2%
Valuation
P/E——92.0050.17152.00
EV/EBITDA——18.6126.1152.90
P/B1.711.711.622.834.93
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.3%-8.3%-1.1%9.7%—
EPS Growth-783.3%-783.3%-66.7%80.0%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -7.8%

Total return

-7.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.06 → -0.41

Residual

-8.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.