StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
600433.SS$3.88-6.51%
Fair $3.88+0.0%

600433.SS

Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsShanghai

$3.88

-0.27 (-6.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.88Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 0/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-983.0M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -7.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600433.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-7.2%

↓

Gross Margin

4.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.06

↑
52-Week Range$4
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

600433.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.880Periodo +57.7%
Fair value: $3.880

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-16.8%

FCF / Net income

3.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.15B · net income $-303.7M · FCF $-1.20B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

4.9%-9.3% pts

Operating margin

-2.7%-8.6% pts

Net margin

-4.2%-9.0% pts

FCF margin

-16.8%-23.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.15B$7.15B$7.59B$7.40B$8.09B
Net Income$-303.7M$-303.7M$183.7M$-46.2M$385.4M
EBITDA$-179.8M$-179.8M$572.8M$137.3M$817.6M
EPS-0.17-0.170.10-0.030.21
Gross Margin4.9%4.9%9.4%6.4%14.2%
Operating Margin-2.7%-2.7%1.7%-2.8%5.9%
Net Margin-4.2%-4.2%2.4%-0.6%4.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.061.060.690.490.17
Current Ratio1.231.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.20B$-1.20B$-447.3M$-983.0M$525.4M
Returns
ROE-7.2%-7.2%4.0%-1.0%7.5%
Valuation
P/E——30.40—20.14
EV/EBITDA——13.2248.108.47
P/B1.641.641.201.191.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.8%-5.8%2.5%-8.4%—
EPS Growth-270.0%-270.0%433.3%-114.3%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +24.9%

Total return

+24.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.10 → -0.17

Residual

+23.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+23.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.