StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
600782.SS$2.81-2.43%
Fair $2.81+0.0%

600782.SS

Xinyu Iron & Steel Co., Ltd

Basic Materials / SteelShanghai

$2.81

-0.07 (-2.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.81Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.1B · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600782.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Xinyu Iron & Steel Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.9B

P/E

281.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.7x

↓

ROE

0.1%

↑

Gross Margin

0.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$3
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

600782.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.810Periodo +17.5%
Fair value: $2.810

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-26.4%

FCF CAGR

-17.1%

FCF margin

4.8%

FCF / Net income

61.66x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $41.80B · net income $32.8M · FCF $2.02B

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

0.9%-5.3% pts

Operating margin

-1.2%-6.1% pts

Net margin

0.1%-4.1% pts

FCF margin

4.8%+1.5% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$41.80B$41.80B$71.14B$99.00B$104.91B
Net Income$32.8M$32.8M$497.7M$1.05B$4.35B
EBITDA$1.30B$1.30B$1.78B$2.53B$6.56B
EPS0.010.010.160.331.39
Gross Margin0.9%0.9%1.9%3.2%6.2%
Operating Margin-1.2%-1.2%-0.1%1.6%4.9%
Net Margin0.1%0.1%0.7%1.1%4.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.240.160.14
Current Ratio1.051.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.02B$2.02B$-2.45B$-1.09B$3.55B
Returns
ROE0.1%0.1%1.9%4.0%16.0%
Valuation
P/E281.00281.0022.0012.394.12
EV/EBITDA7.747.747.194.992.52
P/B0.350.350.410.490.66
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-41.2%-41.2%-28.1%-5.6%—
EPS Growth-93.8%-93.8%-51.5%-76.3%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

192.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.25

Spread vs growth

-285.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

97.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.30

Spread vs growth

-191.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

47.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.49

Spread vs growth

-141.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.5%

Total return

-24.5%

Start / end P/E

24.8x → 281.0x

EPS bridge

0.16 → 0.01

Residual

-968.0%

EPS growth-93.8%
Multiple rerating+1032.5%
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-968.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.