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600963.SS$3.97-2.70%
Fair $3.97+0.0%

600963.SS

Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd.

Basic Materials / Paper & Paper ProductsShanghai

$3.97

-0.11 (-2.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.97Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 14/F
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.2B · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

14/100

F

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -3.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600963.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

25.4x

↑

ROE

-3.1%

↓

Gross Margin

10.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.00

↑
52-Week Range$4
$4$7

TradingView lightweight chart

600963.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.970Periodo +87.5%
Fair value: $3.970

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-14.6%

FCF / Net income

5.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.67B · net income $-235.0M · FCF $-1.26B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.5%-4.9% pts

Operating margin

4.2%-4.9% pts

Net margin

-2.7%-9.0% pts

FCF margin

-14.6%-19.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.67B$8.67B$8.11B$9.89B$9.78B
Net Income$-235.0M$-235.0M$171.9M$76.5M$615.6M
EBITDA$540.3M$540.3M$811.7M$743.5M$1.31B
EPS-0.13-0.130.090.040.35
Gross Margin10.5%10.5%13.5%11.6%15.4%
Operating Margin4.2%4.2%7.2%5.5%9.1%
Net Margin-2.7%-2.7%2.1%0.8%6.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.001.000.940.690.48
Current Ratio1.071.07———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.26B$-1.26B$-1.16B$573.4M$492.4M
Returns
ROE-3.1%-3.1%2.2%0.8%6.7%
Valuation
P/E——51.33152.0017.71
EV/EBITDA25.4325.4318.3222.6611.05
P/B0.940.941.111.281.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.8%6.8%-18.0%1.1%—
EPS Growth-244.4%-244.4%125.0%-88.6%—
Dividend Yield0.7%0.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.3%

Total return

-11.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.09 → -0.13

Residual

-12.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.