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600969.SS$11.19-1.93%
Fair $11.19+0.0%

600969.SS

Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd

Utilities / Utilities - DiversifiedShanghai

$11.19

-0.22 (-1.93%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.19Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $644.5M · quality 38.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600969.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.1B

P/E

53.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.2x

↑

ROE

2.1%

↓

Gross Margin

9.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.93

↑
52-Week Range$11
$7$13

TradingView lightweight chart

600969.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.19Periodo +19.8%
Fair value: $11.19

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.1%

FCF CAGR

+72.7%

FCF margin

15.5%

FCF / Net income

8.44x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.15B · net income $76.3M · FCF $644.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.4%-0.3% pts

Operating margin

8.8%+4.5% pts

Net margin

1.8%+0.6% pts

FCF margin

15.5%+12.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.15B$4.15B$4.29B$3.92B$4.01B
Net Income$76.3M$76.3M$-36.3M$-61.7M$50.2M
EBITDA$920.8M$920.8M$968.6M$704.9M$807.4M
EPS0.210.21-0.10-0.170.13
Gross Margin9.4%9.4%12.8%7.5%9.8%
Operating Margin8.8%8.8%11.3%2.1%4.3%
Net Margin1.8%1.8%-0.8%-1.6%1.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.931.932.112.242.24
Current Ratio0.600.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$644.5M$644.5M$872.8M$-131.6M$125.1M
Returns
ROE2.1%2.1%-1.0%-1.7%1.4%
Valuation
P/E53.2953.29——58.31
EV/EBITDA10.1910.198.3213.1811.69
P/B1.121.120.610.680.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.4%-3.4%9.5%-2.3%—
EPS Growth310.0%310.0%41.2%-230.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

67.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.99

Spread vs growth

242.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

41.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.20

Spread vs growth

268.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

24.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.93

Spread vs growth

285.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +40.2%

Total return

+40.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.10 → 0.21

Residual

+40.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+40.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.