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600997.SS$5.71+5.16%
Fair $5.71+0.0%

600997.SS

Kailuan Energy Chemical Co.,Ltd.

Basic Materials / Coking CoalShanghai

$5.71

+0.28 (+5.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.71Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-439.1M · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -0.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 600997.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Kailuan Energy Chemical Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

7.3x

↓

ROE

-0.2%

↑

Gross Margin

9.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.32

↑
52-Week Range$6
$5$8

TradingView lightweight chart

600997.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.710Periodo +20.5%
Fair value: $5.710

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-12.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.7%

FCF / Net income

46.85x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.39B · net income $-32.4M · FCF $-1.52B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.5%-6.8% pts

Operating margin

0.1%-8.8% pts

Net margin

-0.2%-7.3% pts

FCF margin

-8.7%-18.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$17.39B$17.39B$21.17B$22.84B$26.00B
Net Income$-32.4M$-32.4M$815.7M$1.09B$1.85B
EBITDA$1.12B$1.12B$2.05B$2.48B$3.50B
EPS-0.02-0.020.510.691.17
Gross Margin9.5%9.5%12.5%14.1%16.3%
Operating Margin0.1%0.1%3.8%6.0%9.0%
Net Margin-0.2%-0.2%3.9%4.8%7.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.370.410.34
Current Ratio1.001.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.52B$-1.52B$44.4M$-439.1M$2.61B
Returns
ROE-0.2%-0.2%5.7%7.7%13.2%
Valuation
P/E——12.8211.675.78
EV/EBITDA7.327.324.684.782.31
P/B0.680.680.730.890.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.9%-17.9%-7.3%-12.2%—
EPS Growth-103.9%-103.9%-26.1%-41.0%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.4%

Total return

-5.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.51 → -0.02

Residual

-5.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.